Of the 2,068 superseded qualifications, accredited courses and skill sets sitting on live ASQA-regulated scopes, 26 have passed their computed item 14 enrolment cut-off. That is about one instance in 80, across 14 providers, which is 0.4% of the 3,628 ASQA-regulated RTOs with current registration. Everything else on the clock, 2,042 computed cut-offs or 98.7% of the calendar, is still ahead. If you have read that hundreds of providers are already past their item 14 date, that claim has not done this count.
Before anything else, what a passed date on this page does not mean. Every date here is computed by us from what the register publishes — the replacement product's inclusion date plus one year, the latest such date where a product names several replacements — and ASQA can grant a provider an extension that the register does not show. A provider past our computed date may hold exactly that, and then the date on this page is simply not theirs. The date also only ever governs new enrolments: learners already enrolled are not on this clock at all. Nothing on this page is a breach finding, and nothing here says any provider has done anything wrong.
What was counted
Item 14 of the 2025 Compliance Standards (F2025L00355, in force 1 July 2025) attaches a clock to an event the national register publishes: the day a replacement training product joins it. Under s 14(1)(a)(i), as ASQA's published guidance reads it (ASQA guidance, read live 25 August 2026), new enrolments into the superseded product are not permitted from one year after that — later if ASQA has approved otherwise for the provider.
The register publishes every input for that arithmetic and never performs it. So we performed it, for every superseded qualification, accredited course and skill set on every live ASQA-regulated scope: 2,068 scope-level instances, read on 20 August 2026, with a computed date resolved for every one of them (0 had to be excluded). This page is the small half of that measurement — the dates already behind us. The large half has its own page: the September 2026 wave.
The count, split at the instrument's commencement
The 26 are not one group but two, and the split matters:
- 22 instances, across 10 providers, have a computed date that falls on or after 1 July 2025 — with the instrument already in force. The median of those dates is 6 months old.
- 4 instances have a computed date that falls before the instrument was in force at all — a median of 32 months ago, the oldest 33 months. For these, the one-year arithmetic lands in a period when item 14 did not yet exist. What the instrument asks of a product whose computed date predates its own commencement is a question for the regulator, not for arithmetic, and we do not answer it here.
Across all 26, the median passed date is 6 months old, and only 4 passed more than a year ago. In other words: even the scope entries that are past their computed date are, typically, only recently past it.
The products behind the 26
The most common codes tell one story almost by themselves: the wool and shearing cluster of the AHC package, whose replacements joined the register on 11 February 2025 — so their computed cut-off arrived on 11 February 2026, five months before most people had heard of item 14.
| Product | What it is | Live ASQA scopes | Computed cut-off |
|---|---|---|---|
| AHC41316 | Certificate IV in Wool Classing | 7 | 11 Feb 2026 |
| AHC32916 | Certificate III in Shearing | 3 | 11 Feb 2026 |
| AHC21316 | Certificate II in Shearing | 3 | 11 Feb 2026 |
| AHC21416 | Certificate II in Wool Handling | 3 | 11 Feb 2026 |
| AHC33016 | Certificate III in Wool Clip Preparation | 2 | 11 Feb 2026 |
| CUA20220 | Certificate II in Creative Industries | 2 | 13 Aug 2026 |
And the wool cluster makes the point better than we could. For exactly these qualifications, ASQA has published an extended transition period — for continuing students, not for new enrolments. So the biggest cluster in the “past” column is not a cluster of providers running late: it is a cluster the regulator has already written to. The computed new-enrolment date in the table still stands; what an extension of that kind changes is the completion window for learners already inside. If this page told you those providers had a problem, it would be wrong — which is why it does not.
How we read that, and what we could not check. We read ASQA's extension notice through a search index on 25 August 2026 and have not been able to re-read it in place: asqa.gov.au is serving the same default document to every direct request while its site is being restructured — we tried four different URLs from an Australian server and got the same 17,547-character page with no product codes in it each time. So treat the extension as reported, not as verified by us, and check it at asqa.gov.au before relying on it. We would rather tell you how thin our source is than leave the sentence out and make those providers look worse than they are.
These are small, specialist scopes, and that is not an accident. The big packages — community services, early childhood, engineering — released their replacements in September 2025, so their computed dates have not arrived yet. Which brings us to the real headline.
Why almost nobody is past: the clock has barely struck
Item 14's clock only started existing on 1 July 2025, and it runs one year from each replacement's inclusion. The register moves in package releases — hundreds of scopes inherit the same date at once — and the large releases that started clocks did so in late 2025. So the computed calendar is almost entirely in front of us, and it is not a slope but a staircase.
The first big chime is 4–5 September 2026, when 835 computed cut-offs — 40.9% of every one still ahead — land on 591 providers in forty-eight hours. That wave has its own page, product by product. Set against it, this page's 26 are the rounding error: the register's past is small and its calendar is heavy.
That asymmetry is the practical point. A count of who is already past makes a poor scare story — and any telling of item 14 that leads with “hundreds are already in breach” has confused a computed future with a computed past, or has counted providers the instrument does not bind. The useful question is not who is behind the clock; it is when the clock next strikes for your scope.
Two clocks, not one. Every date on this page is for new enrolments only. Learners already enrolled are not on that clock: they complete and are certified, or transfer to the replacement, in a timely manner (ASQA guidance, read live 25 August 2026). A passed computed date says an enrolment window closed. It says nothing about the learners inside, and any reading that turns it into a deadline for enrolled learners misreads the instrument.
What “past the computed date” means for a provider
If one of the products above is on your scope, three readings of the same fact are open, and the register cannot tell them apart:
- You hold an extension. ASQA grants them, they can be provider-specific, and they do not appear in the data we read. If you hold one, the computed date is not yours — your regulator correspondence is the record that matters, not this page.
- You stopped enrolling long ago. The register records what is on a scope, not who is enrolled in it. A product can sit on scope, past its computed date, with its last new enrolment years behind it and every remaining learner finishing in a timely manner. From the outside — and we are the outside — that is indistinguishable from case 3.
- The date arrived unnoticed. In which case the decisions still open are the same as for anyone ahead of a cut-off: new learners go into the replacement code, learners already enrolled finish or transfer in a timely manner, and the conversation to have is with ASQA, not with a dashboard.
Which of the three describes any given provider is knowable only to that provider and its regulator. That is precisely why this page counts scope entries and never names providers.
How this was measured, and what it does not say
Measured by reading every ASQA-regulated live scope on training.gov.au, product by product, on 20 August 2026 — population: the 3,628 RTOs with current registration whose registration manager is the national regulator. Every date here is the computed date — the replacement's inclusion date plus one year, the latest where several replacements are named — and ASQA can extend it for a given provider; we cannot see which extensions apply, so a passed computed date is never a finding about anyone. Item 14 binds providers registered by the national regulator; providers registered only in Victoria (VRQA) or Western Australia (TAC) sit under their own regulator's arrangements and are not counted here. The register records what is on a scope, not who is enrolled — a provider may have stopped enrolling into a product long before any date on this page, and only that provider knows. We read the register and the legislation; we do not assess compliance.
Your own dates
The number that matters to you is not 26 — it is whether any of the 2,042 computed cut-offs still ahead is on your scope, and when. That check is free and takes one line: type an RTO code on the home page and it lists every superseded product on that live scope with its computed item 14 enrolment cut-off, plus the full cut-off calendar for that scope. No account, no card.
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